The newsletter is sent around 4 p.m. (AEST). every day. I try to write five letters a week (Mon-Friday). My focus is on researching signals that have a statistically significant probability of providing superior risk-adjusted returns. I also share my views on the news of the day with some actionable insights.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I have not considered your individual circumstances. I propose actionable insights from a hypothetical general global macro strategists point of view, trying to achieve above-average risk-adjusted returns whilst considering the major macro themes currently in play. I am not licenced to provide individualised financial advice; therefore, any investment decision you make is solely your responsibility.
#148: Is the First Cut the Deepest?
An indepth look at the SP500 performance after a rate cut. I also showcase the Smart Money positioned long the Yen.
#147: Do You Really Believe?
All about risk and return and whether you really believe it.
#146: Caffeine Highs
This is all about the coffee prices of the futures. I also mention a lesson on portfolio allocation I learned from a Singapore hedge fund manager.
#145: Its All About the Fed
This week is a FOMC week so all eyes are on the Fed and interest rates. I continue to believe in going long the China stock market via the Hang Seng and short the US via the SP500.
#144: Bad Is Not Always So Bad
We discuss keeping your bad mistakes front of mind so that they can serve as a learning.
Take note of PPI and Core PPI.
finally look at the gold and silver ratio effect on the S&P 500.
#143: Oil and Inflation
We look at short and long term relationships with oil and 10yr yields and inflation expectations.